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538 Snake Chart

538 Snake Chart - What is the difference between these two categories? Each state has two senators, so that's 100 of the 538 total. Polling by fivethirtyeight categorizes polls by these groups: Silver uses pollster rankings, trend line adjustments, and poll sample adjustments to enhance the performance of. The bias might narrow slightly as more votes are counted; 7 mostly the (decennial) census generally, the electoral formula is electoral votes = representatives + senators. It says trump won with a 304 to 227 for electoral votes. In 538's election forecast, states are highlighted as either having the closest races or being close to the tipping point. As things stand, betting markets have an implied probability of trump winning the 2024 election of around 60%. 538 pays a lot of attention to the quality, decay, and noise from polling data.

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